Subject: Is there cause for concern?
Author:
Posted on: 2018-04-06 04:15:00 UTC

I've noticed that, over the years, we tend to hover around 50 people if you count "willing to fill out the census") and 20-30 people if you count as "could be corralled in for a ban vote"/"posts regularly (in the Board or Discord)"/...

People also tend to leave either near-immediately (a lot of those newbies you mentioned, for example) or after several years (because of real life starting to hit their time harder or sometimes because of Drama).

So, abusing some terms a bit, the community membership pipeline is Newbie -> Middlebie -> Oldbie.

If there's been a noticable drop in how many people are entering the pipeline (showing up and posting), that's something we should worry about.

If we're having trouble with conversion to Middlebie (that is, getting folks to stick around for more than a week or two), that's also a problem, but a distinct one.

Come to think of it, do you have Permission Requests by year? That could help point to anything like that happening.

Middlebie to Oldbie conversion is ... not something we can exert much control over, I think, except by doing fewer things that cause folks to storm off in a huff, which we've been working on for the past year.

So, at the very least, what we want is a small stream of incoming Middlebies (using the term loosely) to replace the ones we lose to external stuff.

It's not clear that we've been shrinking. Going to look at a September 2011 seems to about the same number of distinct people posting, just that a lot of the names are different. Maybe we're a bit smaller ... but then again, the Discord is a thing (and so was the IRC, whose logs I don't have, so its hard to compare).

So, the question is, are we looking like we're going to shrink?

I don't quite know at the moment, because I'm not in a position to run more stats.

- Tomash

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