Subject: An attempt to use Fancy Mathematics!
Author:
Posted on: 2012-12-19 05:53:00 UTC

...doing this just for kicks because math is comprised of large quantities of Fun.

If we assume that the number of people (and thus fanfic authors) who have seen The Hobbit grows exponentially because linear growth is no fun, we can hypothetically model the growth in the number of Hobbit fics in the Pit using the following equation:

A = Ao*e-kt

Where A is the current amount of fics, Ao is the initial amount, e is the natural number, k is the function's growth constant, and t is the time (in days) passed. Plugging in:

A= 153
Ao= 106
t= 5

We can calculate -k is equal to 0.0734. Re-plugging this into the equation and setting t = 19 (5 days + 14 days until New Year's), we obtain A= 428, rounded up.

Which is still a fearsome number of potential sporkable fics by any standards. I'd still like to see 1000 before New Year's: think of all the horror joys of snarking at badfic!

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